Regional oeriew ‡iing on the edge: earthˆua‰e haŠard emanating rom the ‹imalaŒan region he žimalayas are one of the orl‚’s he žimalayas… forme‚ by the continental collision of the “n‚ian an‚ Eurasian plates… most seismically haar‚ous reionsˆ have the hihest mountain pea€s in the orl‚ˆ he reion is also one of the most seismically active loballyˆ his is because the northboun‚ un‚er‰thrustin of the “n‚ia plate beneath the Eurasia plate continues to‚ay… at a rate of –„ centimeters per yearˆ he map belo shos the alinment of more recent earthŒua€es alon the plate boun‚ary line… runnin from Assam in the east šhere there as an Š ‡ˆ6 Œua€e in 1†50› to Ÿashmir in the est šthe site of an Š ˆ6 earthŒua€e in 2005›ˆ Figure 5 he žimalayan plate boun‚ary line an‚ the ‚ates of ma or earthŒua€es ‘ource: ‘iss eˆ houh 50 €m aay from the epicentre… remors oriinatin from the epicentre of the April 2015 earthŒua€e in Nepal ere ’elhi felt the tremors of the April Œua€e in also felt in ’elhi… the capital of “n‚ia… almost 50 €m aayˆ Accor‚in to 2011 census Nepalˆ ‚ata… aroun‚ †0§ of ’elhi’s buil‚in stoc€ falls in the cateory of unreinforce‚ masonry… hich is not earthŒua€e resistantˆ Šoreover… ’elhi is locate‚ on the ban€s of iver µamuna on a be‚ of very soft soil… hich can amplify seismic aves an‚ their ‚amae‰causin potentialˆ he presence of a seismic ap in central he žimalayan plate has a seismic ap… that is… an area here plate movement has žimalayas is a ris€ for ’elhiˆ alrea‚y pro‚uce‚ lan‚ ‚eformation but – as of yet – no release of associate‚ enery in the form of an earthŒua€eˆ he ap exten‚s from the reion near the Ÿanra earthŒua€e in 1†05 šsee ˜iure 5› to the epicentre of the 1†„ Nepal earthŒua€e šaroun‚ 00 €m›ˆ he li€elihoo‚ of earthŒua€es in seismic aps is very hih… an‚ the expecte‚ manitu‚e of such an earthŒua€e in the žimalayas is Š ‡ˆ0–‡ˆ5ˆ ’elhi is much closer to certain areas of the seismic ap than to the epicentre of the April 2015 earthŒua€eˆ “n other or‚s… the city is vulnerable to earthŒua€e ris€ˆ he economic loss from a ma or o assess the loss potential of such an event in ’elhi… ‘iss e simulate‚ the impact earthŒua€e near ’elhi coul‚ amount to of an earthŒua€e of Š ‡ˆ0 manitu‚e ust 1†0 €m aay from the city… ith its as much as Ž‘’ „ billionˆ epicentre in the žimalayan seismic ap… usin the proprietary Šulti‘NA• toolˆ he simulation assume‚ an insurance penetration rate in ’elhi of 1ˆ„§ˆ† he outcome as a total economic loss of at least “N 20 billion šŽ‘’ „ billion›… ith insure‚ losses of aroun‚ “N 25ˆ2 billion šŽ‘’ „00 million›ˆ An‚… ’elhi is one of “n‚ia’s most populous cityˆ A lare earthŒua€e there oul‚ li€ely also mean lare loss of lifeˆ 9 Indian non-life insurance industry yearbook 2014–15… –eneral “nsurance Council… 2015ˆ https://ˆicouncilˆin/‚onloa‚sˆaspx 10 Swiss Re sigma No 1/2016
Natural Catastrophes And Man-Made Disasters In 2015 Page 10 Page 12