‹isin incomes mean more eoe Insurance rowth varies reative to income rowth… deendin on the eve of can afford insurance‡ economic deveoment‡ ‚emand for insurance remains imited at ow income eves‡ ‘s househods ein to e a e to meet asic needs… the a iity to afford insurance wi tyicay rise faster than income rowth‡ ‹isin incomes in the emerin markets… where the emirica income easticity of insurance demand6 is tyicay hiher than 1‡0 ­see —iure 2„… ena e more eoe to uy insurance‡ In non†ife… income easticity in the emerin markets overa has increased over the ast three decades ut in ife… it fe eow 1‡0 in 2006†201™‡ ˆhis was mainy due to reuatory ¢ chanes in Œhina and India that neativey affected ife remiums in 2011†1¡‡ In comarison… the income easticity of insurance demand in the advanced markets has remained at around 0‡’ in non†ife… and fe from 1‡¡ in 1’6†1’’™ to 0‡’ in 2006† 201™ in ife‡ ˆhe financia crisis may have adversey affected demand for insurance in the advanced markets… ut the decine in the income easticity aso refects the ower roensity to uy insurance at hiher income eves‡ Figure 2 2.5 €‚ƒ easticity of insurance remiums in emerin reions 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 Non-life Life Non-life Life Non-life Life Non-life Life Non-life Life Emerging Emerging Adanced markets Asia Latin America CEE markets 1986–1995 1996–2005 2006–2015 Note: ‚ata for Œentra and Eastern Euroe ­ŒEE„ for 1’6†1’’™ are not avaia e‡ Žource: ”xford Economics… Žwiss ‹e Economic ‹esearch Ÿ Œonsutin‡ ˆhe ‰‹IŒŽ have een the most rominent In recent decades… different institutions have assined what have ecome of emerin market country rouins‡ reconised names for rouins of different emerin market countries‡ ˆhe most rominent of these has een the ‰‹IŒŽ countries‡ Œoectivey… the ‰‹IŒŽ accounted for around ™™ of emerin market €‚ƒ in 201™… and ™’ of non†ife and ¢¢ of ife insurance remiums‡ Exames of other country rouins are ˜INˆ… E‘€›E and ŒIªEˆŽ… aso coections of economies exected to sustain hih rowth in the comin years‡ 6 ˆhe income easticity of insurance demand measures chanes in insurance remiums as a resut of chanes in €‚ƒ… which is a used as a roxy for tota income‡ ‘n easticity of 1‡0 means insurance remiums increase roortionay with income‡ ‘n easticity of 2‡0 means that for every 1 increase in income… remiums row 2‡ Emirica evidence shows that easticity chanes with income eves‡ Žee: ‹udof EnŠ… “ˆhe ކŒurve ‹eation ‰etween ƒer†Œaita Income and Insurance ƒenetration”… The Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance, ªo‡ 2™… no‡ ¡… §uy 2000‡ 7 New reuations on ancassurance in Œhina… and for unit†inked insurance distri ution in India‡ 8 ˜INˆ ¯ ˜exico… Indonesia… Nieria and ˆurkey° E‘€›E ¯ ‰anadesh… ‰raŠi… Œhina… India… Indonesia… Iraš… ˜exico… Nieria… ƒakistan… ƒhiiines… ‹ussia… Žaudi ‘ra ia… ˆhaiand and ˆurkey° and ŒIªEˆŽ ¯ Œoom ia… Indonesia… ªietnam… Eyt… ˆurkey and Žouth ‘frica‡ Swiss Re sigma No 2/2016 ¡

Insuring The Frontier Markets - Page 4 Insuring The Frontier Markets Page 3 Page 5